Temperature Notifications
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Gambela. Recorded value: 85.09°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Gambela
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Dire Dawa. Recorded value: 77.43°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Dire Dawa
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Benishangul-Gumuz. Recorded value: 91.84°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Benishangul-Gumuz
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Amhara. Recorded value: 87.63°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Amhara
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Afar. Recorded value: 75.69°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Afar
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Addis Ababa. Recorded value: 92.88°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Addis Ababa
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Dikhil. Recorded value: 59.39°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Djibouti – Dikhil
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western. Recorded value: 91.98°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Uganda – Western
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Northern. Recorded value: 75.41°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Uganda – Northern
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Eastern. Recorded value: 75.85°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Uganda – Eastern
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central. Recorded value: 85.74°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Uganda – Central
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western Equatoria. Recorded value: 90.90°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Western Equatoria
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Western Bahr el Ghazal
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Warrap. Recorded value: 85.72°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Warrap
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Upper Nile. Recorded value: 78.39°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Upper Nile
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Unity. Recorded value: 82.02°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Unity
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Northern Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Northern Bahr el Ghazal
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Lakes. Recorded value: 86.31°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Lakes
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Jonglei. Recorded value: 81.37°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Jonglei
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Eastern Equatoria. Recorded value: 76.64°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Eastern Equatoria
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central Equatoria. Recorded value: 87.07°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Central Equatoria
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Woqooyi Galbeed. Recorded value: 57.85°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Somalia – Woqooyi Galbeed
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Togdheer. Recorded value: 59.96°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Somalia – Togdheer
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Sool. Recorded value: 60.52°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Somalia – Sool
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Shabeellaha Hoose. Recorded value: 77.34°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Somalia – Shabeellaha Hoose
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Shabeellaha Dhexe. Recorded value: 78.38°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Somalia – Shabeellaha Dhexe
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Sanaag. Recorded value: 58.75°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Somalia – Sanaag
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Nugaal. Recorded value: 66.11°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Somalia – Nugaal
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Mudug. Recorded value: 73.60°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Somalia – Mudug
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Jubbada Hoose. Recorded value: 78.61°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Somalia – Jubbada Hoose
01 Nov 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)

Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in East Darfur. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-10-01. Threshold: Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %) Description: Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Data Date
Oct. 1, 2026
Created
01 Nov 2026 08:30
Location
Sudan – East Darfur
Triggered Value
0.00°C
Alert Details
Threshold Type Monthly Normal
Warning Level Information
Country Sudan
Admin Area East Darfur
Threshold Configuration
Name Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Operator Less than or equal
Max Threshold 15.0°C

Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Actions

Read in conjunction with the above/below probability fields.