Temperature Notifications
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Tharaka-Nithi. Recorded value: 63.46°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Tharaka-Nithi
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Nyandarua. Recorded value: 71.25°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Nyandarua
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Vihiga. Recorded value: 72.87°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Vihiga
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Nakuru. Recorded value: 72.99°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Nakuru
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Siaya. Recorded value: 74.66°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Siaya
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Nandi. Recorded value: 71.57°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Nandi
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Meru. Recorded value: 63.91°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Meru
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Busia. Recorded value: 74.06°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Busia
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Laikipia. Recorded value: 71.45°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Laikipia
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Kakamega. Recorded value: 71.40°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Kakamega
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Garissa. Recorded value: 77.11°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Garissa
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Bungoma. Recorded value: 70.82°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Bungoma
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Trans Nzoia. Recorded value: 69.33°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Trans Nzoia
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Elgeyo/Marakwet. Recorded value: 70.88°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Elgeyo/Marakwet
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Baringo. Recorded value: 72.70°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Baringo
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Isiolo. Recorded value: 70.05°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Isiolo
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Samburu. Recorded value: 71.33°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Samburu
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Uasin Gishu. Recorded value: 71.58°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Uasin Gishu
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Wajir. Recorded value: 69.59°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Wajir
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Mandera. Recorded value: 62.43°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Mandera
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Marsabit. Recorded value: 75.04°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Marsabit
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Turkana. Recorded value: 75.34°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Turkana
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central Ethiopia. Recorded value: 95.66°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Central Ethiopia
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in South Ethiopia People. Recorded value: 83.49°C …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – South Ethiopia People
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Tigray. Recorded value: 83.35°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Tigray
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in South West Ethiopia People. Recorded value: …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – South West Ethiopia People
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Somali. Recorded value: 67.88°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Somali
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Sidama. Recorded value: 95.24°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Sidama
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Oromia. Recorded value: 85.79°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Oromia
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Harari. Recorded value: 76.65°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Harari
01 Nov 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)

Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in East Darfur. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-10-01. Threshold: Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %) Description: Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Data Date
Oct. 1, 2026
Created
01 Nov 2026 08:30
Location
Sudan – East Darfur
Triggered Value
0.00°C
Alert Details
Threshold Type Monthly Normal
Warning Level Information
Country Sudan
Admin Area East Darfur
Threshold Configuration
Name Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Operator Less than or equal
Max Threshold 15.0°C

Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Actions

Read in conjunction with the above/below probability fields.