Temperature Notifications
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Dire Dawa. Recorded value: 55.53°C on …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Dire Dawa
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Benishangul-Gumuz. Recorded value: 58.22°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Benishangul-Gumuz
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Amhara. Recorded value: 57.24°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Amhara
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Afar. Recorded value: 62.54°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Afar
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Tadjoura. Recorded value: 60.84°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Djibouti – Tadjoura
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Obock. Recorded value: 60.82°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Djibouti – Obock
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Djibouti City. Recorded value: 60.50°C on …
March 1, 2026 Djibouti – Djibouti City
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Dikhil. Recorded value: 61.66°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Djibouti – Dikhil
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Ali Sabieh. Recorded value: 60.82°C on …
March 1, 2026 Djibouti – Ali Sabieh
03 Mar 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 65 %)
Alert Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Shabeellaha Dhexe. Recorded value: 65.91°C on …
March 1, 2026 Somalia – Shabeellaha Dhexe
03 Mar 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 65 %)
Alert Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Mudug. Recorded value: 66.26°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Somalia – Mudug
03 Mar 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 65 %)
Alert Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in West Darfur. Recorded value: 69.45°C on …
March 1, 2026 Sudan – West Darfur
03 Mar 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 65 %)
Alert Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Red Sea. Recorded value: 66.04°C on …
March 1, 2026 Sudan – Red Sea
03 Mar 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 65 %)
Alert Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central Darfur. Recorded value: 66.73°C on …
March 1, 2026 Sudan – Central Darfur
03 Mar 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 65 %)
Alert Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Kilifi. Recorded value: 66.16°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Kilifi
03 Mar 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 65 %)
Alert Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Lamu. Recorded value: 65.60°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Lamu
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in South Sudan. Recorded value: 10.06°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 South Sudan
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Uganda. Recorded value: 9.06°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Uganda
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Kenya. Recorded value: 8.76°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Kenya
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Djibouti. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Djibouti
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Somalia. Recorded value: 9.56°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Somalia
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Ethiopia. Recorded value: 12.43°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Sudan. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Sudan
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Kenya. Recorded value: 50.58°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in South Sudan. Recorded value: 55.60°C on …
March 1, 2026 South Sudan
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Uganda. Recorded value: 57.01°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Uganda
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Kenya. Recorded value: 59.65°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Djibouti. Recorded value: 61.17°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Djibouti
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Somalia. Recorded value: 59.62°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Somalia
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Ethiopia. Recorded value: 57.76°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)

Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Western. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-06-01. Threshold: Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %) Description: Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Data Date
June 1, 2026
Created
01 Jun 2026 05:00
Location
Uganda – Western
Triggered Value
0.00°C
Alert Details
Threshold Type Monthly Normal
Warning Level Information
Country Uganda
Admin Area Western
Threshold Configuration
Name Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Operator Less than or equal
Max Threshold 15.0°C

Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Actions

Read in conjunction with the above/below probability fields.