Temperature Notifications
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Tharaka-Nithi. Recorded value: 51.94°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Tharaka-Nithi
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Vihiga. Recorded value: 62.24°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Vihiga
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Nakuru. Recorded value: 51.70°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Nakuru
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Siaya. Recorded value: 61.60°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Siaya
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Nandi. Recorded value: 59.41°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Nandi
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Meru. Recorded value: 50.52°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Meru
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Busia. Recorded value: 60.43°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Busia
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Laikipia. Recorded value: 50.77°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Laikipia
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Kakamega. Recorded value: 60.41°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Kakamega
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Garissa. Recorded value: 61.72°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Garissa
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Bungoma. Recorded value: 58.53°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Bungoma
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Trans Nzoia. Recorded value: 56.73°C on …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Trans Nzoia
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Elgeyo/Marakwet. Recorded value: 54.09°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Elgeyo/Marakwet
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Baringo. Recorded value: 54.13°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Baringo
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Isiolo. Recorded value: 57.96°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Isiolo
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Samburu. Recorded value: 55.95°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Samburu
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Uasin Gishu. Recorded value: 55.35°C on …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Uasin Gishu
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Wajir. Recorded value: 59.44°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Wajir
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Mandera. Recorded value: 53.97°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Mandera
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Marsabit. Recorded value: 64.64°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Marsabit
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Turkana. Recorded value: 59.32°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Turkana
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central Ethiopia. Recorded value: 62.16°C on …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Central Ethiopia
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in South Ethiopia People. Recorded value: 60.04°C …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – South Ethiopia People
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Tigray. Recorded value: 60.04°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Tigray
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in South West Ethiopia People. Recorded value: …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – South West Ethiopia People
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Somali. Recorded value: 57.57°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Somali
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Sidama. Recorded value: 60.04°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Sidama
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Oromia. Recorded value: 55.59°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Oromia
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Harari. Recorded value: 52.19°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Harari
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Gambela. Recorded value: 57.07°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Gambela
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)

Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Western. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-06-01. Threshold: Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %) Description: Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Data Date
June 1, 2026
Created
01 Jun 2026 05:00
Location
Uganda – Western
Triggered Value
0.00°C
Alert Details
Threshold Type Monthly Normal
Warning Level Information
Country Uganda
Admin Area Western
Threshold Configuration
Name Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Operator Less than or equal
Max Threshold 15.0°C

Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Actions

Read in conjunction with the above/below probability fields.