Temperature Notifications
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Lamu. Recorded value: 87.60°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Lamu
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central Ethiopia. Recorded value: 95.66°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Central Ethiopia
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in South West Ethiopia People. Recorded value: …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – South West Ethiopia People
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Sidama. Recorded value: 95.24°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Sidama
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Oromia. Recorded value: 85.79°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Oromia
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Gambela. Recorded value: 85.09°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Gambela
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Benishangul-Gumuz. Recorded value: 91.84°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Benishangul-Gumuz
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Amhara. Recorded value: 87.63°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Amhara
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Addis Ababa. Recorded value: 92.88°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Addis Ababa
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western. Recorded value: 91.98°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Uganda – Western
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central. Recorded value: 85.74°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Uganda – Central
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western Equatoria. Recorded value: 90.90°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Western Equatoria
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Western Bahr el Ghazal
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Warrap. Recorded value: 85.72°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Warrap
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Northern Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Northern Bahr el Ghazal
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Lakes. Recorded value: 86.31°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Lakes
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central Equatoria. Recorded value: 87.07°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Central Equatoria
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in West Darfur. Recorded value: 85.30°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Sudan – West Darfur
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in South Darfur. Recorded value: 89.29°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Sudan – South Darfur
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in East Darfur. Recorded value: 85.74°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Sudan – East Darfur
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central Darfur. Recorded value: 88.24°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Sudan – Central Darfur
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Blue Nile. Recorded value: 81.98°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Sudan – Blue Nile
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Gezira. Recorded value: 75.05°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Sudan – Gezira
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in West Kordofan. Recorded value: 84.25°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Sudan – West Kordofan
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Kwale. Recorded value: 79.00°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Kwale
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Taita/Taveta. Recorded value: 78.06°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Taita/Taveta
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Kilifi. Recorded value: 86.66°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Kilifi
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Lamu. Recorded value: 87.60°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Lamu
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Makueni. Recorded value: 71.52°C on 2026-10-01. …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Makueni
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Nairobi City. Recorded value: 70.48°C on …
Oct. 1, 2026 Kenya – Nairobi City
01 Nov 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)

Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in East Darfur. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-10-01. Threshold: Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %) Description: Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Data Date
Oct. 1, 2026
Created
01 Nov 2026 08:30
Location
Sudan – East Darfur
Triggered Value
0.00°C
Alert Details
Threshold Type Monthly Normal
Warning Level Information
Country Sudan
Admin Area East Darfur
Threshold Configuration
Name Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Operator Less than or equal
Max Threshold 15.0°C

Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Actions

Read in conjunction with the above/below probability fields.