Temperature Notifications
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in South West Ethiopia People. Recorded value: 0.00°C …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – South West Ethiopia People
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Somali. Recorded value: 12.46°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Somali
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Sidama. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Sidama
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Oromia. Recorded value: 13.90°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Oromia
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Harari. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Harari
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Gambela. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Gambela
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Dire Dawa. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Dire Dawa
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Benishangul-Gumuz. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Benishangul-Gumuz
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Amhara. Recorded value: 11.36°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Amhara
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Afar. Recorded value: 11.34°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Afar
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Tadjoura. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Djibouti – Tadjoura
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Obock. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Djibouti – Obock
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Djibouti City. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Djibouti – Djibouti City
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Dikhil. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-03-01. Threshold: …
March 1, 2026 Djibouti – Dikhil
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Ali Sabieh. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Djibouti – Ali Sabieh
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Murang'a. Recorded value: 50.28°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Murang'a
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Nyeri. Recorded value: 50.51°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Nyeri
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Nyandarua. Recorded value: 51.25°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Nyandarua
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Nakuru. Recorded value: 51.04°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Kenya – Nakuru
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Amhara. Recorded value: 50.23°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Amhara
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western. Recorded value: 59.36°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Uganda – Western
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Northern. Recorded value: 53.85°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Uganda – Northern
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Eastern. Recorded value: 59.13°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Uganda – Eastern
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central. Recorded value: 57.70°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 Uganda – Central
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western Equatoria. Recorded value: 52.58°C on …
March 1, 2026 South Sudan – Western Equatoria
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
March 1, 2026 South Sudan – Western Bahr el Ghazal
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Warrap. Recorded value: 56.70°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 South Sudan – Warrap
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Upper Nile. Recorded value: 59.00°C on …
March 1, 2026 South Sudan – Upper Nile
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Unity. Recorded value: 56.78°C on 2026-03-01. …
March 1, 2026 South Sudan – Unity
03 Mar 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Northern Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
March 1, 2026 South Sudan – Northern Bahr el Ghazal
03 Mar 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)

Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Western. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-06-01. Threshold: Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %) Description: Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Data Date
June 1, 2026
Created
01 Jun 2026 05:00
Location
Uganda – Western
Triggered Value
0.00°C
Alert Details
Threshold Type Monthly Normal
Warning Level Information
Country Uganda
Admin Area Western
Threshold Configuration
Name Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Operator Less than or equal
Max Threshold 15.0°C

Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Actions

Read in conjunction with the above/below probability fields.