Temperature Notifications
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Harari. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Harari
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Gambela. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Gambela
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Dire Dawa. Recorded value: 13.13°C on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Dire Dawa
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Benishangul-Gumuz. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Benishangul-Gumuz
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Amhara. Recorded value: 12.00°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Amhara
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Afar. Recorded value: 12.31°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Afar
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Addis Ababa. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Addis Ababa
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Tadjoura. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Djibouti – Tadjoura
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Obock. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Djibouti – Obock
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Djibouti City. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Djibouti – Djibouti City
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Dikhil. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Djibouti – Dikhil
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Ali Sabieh. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Djibouti – Ali Sabieh
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in South Sudan. Recorded value: 8.75°C on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Uganda. Recorded value: 8.29°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Uganda
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Kenya. Recorded value: 8.09°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Kenya
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Djibouti. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Djibouti
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Somalia. Recorded value: 7.78°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Somalia
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Ethiopia. Recorded value: 12.09°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Ethiopia
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Sudan. Recorded value: 14.91°C on 2026-05-01. Threshold: …
May 1, 2026 Sudan
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Nyeri. Recorded value: 55.50°C on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Kenya – Nyeri
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Nyandarua. Recorded value: 56.72°C on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Kenya – Nyandarua
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western. Recorded value: 57.89°C on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Uganda – Western
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Eastern. Recorded value: 56.74°C on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Uganda – Eastern
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central. Recorded value: 56.20°C on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Uganda – Central
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Western Bahr el Ghazal
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Upper Nile. Recorded value: 57.09°C on …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Upper Nile
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Unity. Recorded value: 55.10°C on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Unity
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Northern Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Northern Bahr el Ghazal
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Jonglei. Recorded value: 55.31°C on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Jonglei
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Eastern Equatoria. Recorded value: 55.26°C on …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Eastern Equatoria
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)

Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Western. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-06-01. Threshold: Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %) Description: Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Data Date
June 1, 2026
Created
01 Jun 2026 05:00
Location
Uganda – Western
Triggered Value
0.00°C
Alert Details
Threshold Type Monthly Normal
Warning Level Information
Country Uganda
Admin Area Western
Threshold Configuration
Name Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Operator Less than or equal
Max Threshold 15.0°C

Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Actions

Read in conjunction with the above/below probability fields.