Temperature Notifications
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in South Sudan. Recorded value: 74.52°C on …
Nov. 1, 2026 South Sudan
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Uganda. Recorded value: 69.60°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Uganda
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Kenya. Recorded value: 69.44°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Kenya
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Djibouti. Recorded value: 90.51°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Djibouti
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Somalia. Recorded value: 75.16°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Somalia
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Ethiopia. Recorded value: 80.10°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Ethiopia
01 Nov 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 55 %)
Warning Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Sudan. Recorded value: 64.40°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Sudan
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Woqooyi Galbeed. Recorded value: 85.38°C on …
Nov. 1, 2026 Somalia – Woqooyi Galbeed
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Sanaag. Recorded value: 88.71°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Somalia – Sanaag
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Bari. Recorded value: 87.42°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Somalia – Bari
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Awdal. Recorded value: 88.37°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Somalia – Awdal
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Sidama. Recorded value: 85.53°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Sidama
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Dire Dawa. Recorded value: 93.36°C on …
Nov. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Dire Dawa
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Addis Ababa. Recorded value: 93.39°C on …
Nov. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Addis Ababa
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Harari. Recorded value: 89.16°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Harari
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central Ethiopia. Recorded value: 87.11°C on …
Nov. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Central Ethiopia
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Benishangul-Gumuz. Recorded value: 87.72°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Benishangul-Gumuz
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Amhara. Recorded value: 90.07°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Amhara
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Afar. Recorded value: 92.20°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Afar
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Tigray. Recorded value: 88.77°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Tigray
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Tadjoura. Recorded value: 88.57°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Djibouti – Tadjoura
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Dikhil. Recorded value: 94.20°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Djibouti – Dikhil
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Ali Sabieh. Recorded value: 87.01°C on …
Nov. 1, 2026 Djibouti – Ali Sabieh
01 Nov 2026
Critical Very High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 85 %)
Critical Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Djibouti. Recorded value: 90.51°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Djibouti
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western. Recorded value: 72.02°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Uganda – Western
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central. Recorded value: 71.91°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 Uganda – Central
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Warrap. Recorded value: 73.73°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Warrap
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Unity. Recorded value: 74.78°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Unity
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Upper Nile. Recorded value: 77.12°C on …
Nov. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Upper Nile
01 Nov 2026
Alert High Probability of Above-Normal Temperature (≥ 70 %)
Alert Alert: Monthly Above Normal threshold exceeded in Lakes. Recorded value: 74.30°C on 2026-11-01. …
Nov. 1, 2026 South Sudan – Lakes
01 Nov 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)

Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in East Darfur. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-10-01. Threshold: Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %) Description: Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Data Date
Oct. 1, 2026
Created
01 Nov 2026 08:30
Location
Sudan – East Darfur
Triggered Value
0.00°C
Alert Details
Threshold Type Monthly Normal
Warning Level Information
Country Sudan
Admin Area East Darfur
Threshold Configuration
Name Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Operator Less than or equal
Max Threshold 15.0°C

Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Actions

Read in conjunction with the above/below probability fields.