Temperature Notifications
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Ethiopia. Recorded value: 10.72°C on 2026-04-01. Threshold: …
April 1, 2026 Ethiopia
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Information Alert: Seasonal Normal threshold exceeded in Sudan. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-04-01. Threshold: …
April 1, 2026 Sudan
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Woqooyi Galbeed. Recorded value: 50.56°C on …
April 1, 2026 Somalia – Woqooyi Galbeed
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Kiambu. Recorded value: 50.59°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Kenya – Kiambu
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Murang'a. Recorded value: 51.92°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Kenya – Murang'a
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Narok. Recorded value: 50.26°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Kenya – Narok
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Kirinyaga. Recorded value: 51.90°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Kenya – Kirinyaga
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Nyeri. Recorded value: 56.02°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Kenya – Nyeri
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Nyandarua. Recorded value: 56.31°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Kenya – Nyandarua
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Nakuru. Recorded value: 52.34°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Kenya – Nakuru
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Meru. Recorded value: 50.42°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Kenya – Meru
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Laikipia. Recorded value: 52.87°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Kenya – Laikipia
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Addis Ababa. Recorded value: 50.70°C on …
April 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Addis Ababa
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Kenya. Recorded value: 51.59°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Kenya
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Below-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Below Normal threshold exceeded in Somalia. Recorded value: 50.56°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Somalia
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western. Recorded value: 53.79°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Uganda – Western
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Northern. Recorded value: 53.19°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Uganda – Northern
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Eastern. Recorded value: 53.80°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Uganda – Eastern
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central. Recorded value: 51.17°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 Uganda – Central
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western Equatoria. Recorded value: 55.02°C on …
April 1, 2026 South Sudan – Western Equatoria
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Western Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
April 1, 2026 South Sudan – Western Bahr el Ghazal
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Warrap. Recorded value: 52.63°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 South Sudan – Warrap
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Upper Nile. Recorded value: 56.78°C on …
April 1, 2026 South Sudan – Upper Nile
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Unity. Recorded value: 53.59°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 South Sudan – Unity
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Northern Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
April 1, 2026 South Sudan – Northern Bahr el Ghazal
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Lakes. Recorded value: 50.91°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 South Sudan – Lakes
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Jonglei. Recorded value: 54.27°C on 2026-04-01. …
April 1, 2026 South Sudan – Jonglei
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Eastern Equatoria. Recorded value: 53.45°C on …
April 1, 2026 South Sudan – Eastern Equatoria
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Central Equatoria. Recorded value: 54.11°C on …
April 1, 2026 South Sudan – Central Equatoria
26 May 2026
Warning Elevated Probability of Above-Normal Seasonal Temperature (≥ 50 %)
Warning Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Woqooyi Galbeed. Recorded value: 55.79°C on …
April 1, 2026 Somalia – Woqooyi Galbeed
26 May 2026
Information Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)

Information Alert: Monthly Normal threshold exceeded in Western. Recorded value: 0.00°C on 2026-06-01. Threshold: Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %) Description: Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Data Date
June 1, 2026
Created
01 Jun 2026 05:00
Location
Uganda – Western
Triggered Value
0.00°C
Alert Details
Threshold Type Monthly Normal
Warning Level Information
Country Uganda
Admin Area Western
Threshold Configuration
Name Low Probability of Near-Normal Temperature (≤ 15 %)
Operator Less than or equal
Max Threshold 15.0°C

Probability of near-normal temperature is 15 % or less, indicating that the forecast strongly favours either a warmer or cooler month — a sign of high forecast certainty in one direction.

Actions

Read in conjunction with the above/below probability fields.