Rainfall Notifications
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Western. Recorded value: 45.45 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Uganda – Western
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Warrap. Recorded value: 47.09 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Warrap
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Unity. Recorded value: 45.75 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Unity
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Lakes. Recorded value: 47.19 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Lakes
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Western Equatoria. Recorded value: 46.89 on …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Western Equatoria
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Central Equatoria. Recorded value: 45.57 on …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Central Equatoria
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Western Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Western Bahr el Ghazal
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Northern Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Northern Bahr el Ghazal
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Bari. Recorded value: 45.55 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Somalia – Bari
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Red Sea. Recorded value: 44.59 on …
May 1, 2026 Sudan – Red Sea
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Gambela. Recorded value: 44.64 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Gambela
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in South West Ethiopia People. Recorded value: …
May 1, 2026 Ethiopia – South West Ethiopia People
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Oromia. Recorded value: 44.62 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Ethiopia – Oromia
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in South Sudan. Recorded value: 47.05 on …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Uganda. Recorded value: 45.45 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Uganda
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Somalia. Recorded value: 45.55 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Somalia
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Ethiopia. Recorded value: 44.64 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Ethiopia
01 Jun 2026
Warning Monthly Below Normal – Watch
Warning Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Sudan. Recorded value: 44.59 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Sudan
01 Jun 2026
Alert Monthly Below Normal – Alert
Alert Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Western. Recorded value: 45.45 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Uganda – Western
01 Jun 2026
Alert Monthly Below Normal – Alert
Alert Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Warrap. Recorded value: 47.09 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Warrap
01 Jun 2026
Alert Monthly Below Normal – Alert
Alert Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Unity. Recorded value: 45.75 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Unity
01 Jun 2026
Alert Monthly Below Normal – Alert
Alert Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Lakes. Recorded value: 47.19 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Lakes
01 Jun 2026
Alert Monthly Below Normal – Alert
Alert Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Western Equatoria. Recorded value: 46.89 on …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Western Equatoria
01 Jun 2026
Alert Monthly Below Normal – Alert
Alert Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Central Equatoria. Recorded value: 45.57 on …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Central Equatoria
01 Jun 2026
Alert Monthly Below Normal – Alert
Alert Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Western Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Western Bahr el Ghazal
01 Jun 2026
Alert Monthly Below Normal – Alert
Alert Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Northern Bahr el Ghazal. Recorded value: …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan – Northern Bahr el Ghazal
01 Jun 2026
Alert Monthly Below Normal – Alert
Alert Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Bari. Recorded value: 45.55 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Somalia – Bari
01 Jun 2026
Alert Monthly Below Normal – Alert
Alert Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in South Sudan. Recorded value: 47.05 on …
May 1, 2026 South Sudan
01 Jun 2026
Alert Monthly Below Normal – Alert
Alert Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Uganda. Recorded value: 45.45 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Uganda
01 Jun 2026
Alert Monthly Below Normal – Alert
Alert Alert: Monthly Below Normal threshold exceeded in Somalia. Recorded value: 45.55 on 2026-05-01. …
May 1, 2026 Somalia
01 Jun 2026
Critical Seasonal Above Normal – Critical

Critical Alert: Seasonal Above Normal threshold exceeded in Laikipia. Recorded value: 51.62 on 2026-04-01. Threshold: Seasonal Above Normal – Critical Description: Probability of above-normal seasonal rainfall (> 125 % of LTM) has exceeded the strong-signal threshold (≥ 45 %).

Data Date
April 1, 2026
Created
14 Apr 2026 11:54
Location
Kenya – Laikipia
Triggered Value
51.62
Alert Details
Threshold Type Seasonal Above Normal
Warning Level Critical
Country Kenya
Admin Area Laikipia
Threshold Configuration
Name Seasonal Above Normal – Critical
Operator Greater than or equal
Min Threshold 45.0

Probability of above-normal seasonal rainfall (> 125 % of LTM) has exceeded the strong-signal threshold (≥ 45 %).

Actions

Predefined Actions: Issue early advisories on flood risk; pre-position flood response and evacuation resources; strengthen multi-agency coordination and public awareness.